Jul 18, 2013
Also in this issue:
Nicholas Lardy and Nicholas Borst of the Peterson Institute for International Economics outline the daunting challenges China now faces in redirecting its economy from an exports-as-usual strategy to consumption-friendly growth. " conventional wisdom that vested interests have strangled change over the past decade,
? they write. "But the interest-group barrier argument is less clear-cut with respect to the key reforms for rebalancing.
Jim Barth and Penny Prabha of the Milken Institute recount the tale of how the Federal Reserve accumulated more than $3 trillion in assorted securities in an effort to increase global liquidity— and how that cache is creating unprecedented problems as the Fed ponders when and how to reverse course.
Michael Levi of the Council on Foreign Relations lays out the technology and economics behind the resurgence in natural gas and speculates on the global impact. "In principle,
? he writes, the gas boom "could turn geopolitics on its head.
? Poland, for example, has more than 300 times as much natural gas locked in shale as it consumes every year, while Chinese resources add up to more than 400 times annual consumption. If even a modest fraction were brought into production, their dependence on the Russian bear would evaporate.
Anna Pomeranets of the Bank of Canada weighs the case for the Europe Union's coming tax on financial transactions, and finds it wanting. "FTTs are seductive because they promise to reduce market volatility, even as they raise revenues by taking a tiny slice out of vast numbers of transactions,
? she explains. But the evidence just doesn't offer good reasons to expect that the tax will do the job.
Greg Rushford, publisher of the online journal, "The Rushford Report,
? explains how supply-chain manufacturing have made reflexively protectionist interest groups their own worst enemies. "Rapidly evolving trade patterns have scrambled who does and who doesn't benefit from imports,
? he notes, "putting many opponents of open trade in the position of undermining their constituents' long-term interests.
John Rosenthal, a California-based writer, analyzes the method behind the madness that has morphed small-market baseball franchises into pots of gold and led an investor group to pay a record-shattering $2.15 billion for the large-market Los Angeles Dodgers. Television, he writes, "is (once again) transforming the economics of professional sports.
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