About Research Events Experts Newsroom Currency of Ideas
Milken Institute | Newsroom | Currency of Ideas - A quick look at the Greek Bank Run Currency of Ideas: A quick look at the Greek Bank Run
May 17, 2012 at 05:23 PM
A quick look at the Greek Bank Run
  Banking Europe Public Policy
  Posted by
Tong (Cindy) Li
Tong (Cindy) Li
 
We've watched the deposit outflow from Greece for nearly two years now. Indeed, from its peak at June 2010, deposits at Greece banks have declined by one fourth, at a rate of €3.5 billion per month. President Karolos Papoulias' announcement that depositors withdrew over €700 million on Monday fueled new fear that Greece's exit from euro zone may finally become true.

MilkenInstitute

Greek depositors have reasons to worry despite the fact that Greece does have an explicit deposit insurance scheme in place. For euro zone countries, the responsibility of guaranteeing bank deposits is in the hands of national governments. In other words, the credibility of the insurance deposit scheme depends on each government’s financial situation. In 2011, the combined assets of the four largest Greek banks equaled 125 percent of the country's GDP. Considering Greece's dire fiscal situation, the deposit insurance scheme can now be considered useless.

There is also the fear that if Greece finally quits the euro zone, depositors will face a forced currency conversion. It is thus no surprise that Greek citizens and other EU depositors have chosen to move their deposits to banks in other euro zone countries—and thus exacerbate the banking crisis. A lack of confidence is sufficient to make a prophecy self-fulfilling.

ECB won't rescue insolvent Greek banks. So we are probably not too far away from Greece's departure from the euro zone. If there is silver lining, it is the fact that the market is now prepared for Armageddon after three years of euro zone crisis. The next big question, however, is whether the euro zone firewall will work as promised and halt the contagion from Greece. The suspense continues.

Your Comment:






Please help protect our site from spammers, type the following number into the field below.

6 2 4 4 4  
      


Members of the press
may direct inquiries to:

Conrad Kiechel
Director of Communications
Phone: (310) 570-4668
Fax: (310) 570-4627
ckiechel@milkeninstitute.org

Skip Rimer

Executive Director of Programs and Communications
Phone: (310) 570-4654
Cell phone: (310) 739-7591
Fax: (310) 570-4627
srimer@milkeninstitute.org

 
 
About MI
 
About Us
  Careers
  Contact
  Download Annual Report
  FAQs
  Locations
  Our Team

Blog


Events
  Associates
  Conferences
  Global Conference
  State of the State
  Summits
    London 2013
    California 2013
  Forums
  Labs
  Young Leaders

Experts
Newsroom
  Latest News
  News Videos
  Press Releases

Research
  Centers
    Asia
    California
    FasterCures
    Financial Markets
    Israel Center

Initiatives

Publications
  Books
  Financial Innovations Labs
  Milken Institute Review
   Amazon Apps
   App Store
  Research Reports
  Viewpoints
  Search All Publications
Support MI
  Associates
  Donate
  Sponsorships
  Strategic Partners

Follow Us
  @Twitter
  Facebook
  YouTube
  Google+
  LinkedIn

Related Sites
  Celebration of Science
  Chairman's Corner
  Melanoma Research Alliance
  FasterCures
  Partnering For Cures

©2013 Milken Institute