About Research Events Centers Newsroom Currency of Ideas
 
Milken Institute | Newsroom: Press Release | September 11, 2001: Attacks could cost America trillions of dollars, economist says in latest Milken Institute Review
September 11, 2001: Attacks could cost America trillions of dollars, economist says in latest Milken Institute Review

For Immediate Release
November 8, 2001

LOS ANGELES — How much will the worst terrorist attack in history cost America? The answer, according to an article in the last issue of The Milken Institute Review, is hundreds of billions of dollars — and possible trillions.

That price tag comes from Peter Navarro, an economist at the Graduate School of Management at the University of California, Irvine, who includes not only the tangible costs of the attack, but intangible ones, too, including the value of the lives lost in the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, as well as the fears of those who worry they will be the next victims.

But the key point in his cover story, "Assessing the Costs of Terrorism," is that the most important decisions that will affect the final bill have yet to be made.

"The most critical choices will be the ones that affect the economy as a whole — in particular, government fiscal and monetary policy, and potential instability in world energy markets," Navarro writes. "For while a proper accounting of the short run costs of the attack yield mind-numbingly large figures, the damage promulgated through inflation, unemployment and lower productivity could dwarf the numbers linked to loss of property and life."

Also in this issue of the quarterly economic journal, Ross DeVol, Director of Regional Studies at the Milken Institute, counters the fashionable pessimism infecting the long-term outlook on technology and growth. Betting against the technology-enabled New Economy in 2001, he says, is similar to dumping auto stocks in 1908 because it was a bad year for car sales.

"Don′t give up on The New Economy or the Internet because of the dot-com flameouts," writes DeVol. "Future productivity gains from the Internet and linking of computers will justify share prices above today′s valuations."

The 4th Quarter Review also includes:

Tim Taylor, managing editor of the Journal of Economic Perspectives, favors individual retirement accounts for Society Security recipients — but with a twist. Private accounts, he says, should be the liberal quid pro quo for raising Social Security taxes to preserve the system′s long-term solvency.

Victoria Marklew, senior international economist at Northern Trust, analyzes Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi′s chances for pulling Japan out of its long economic slump.

Robert Walker of the University of Nottingham and Michael Wiseman of George Washington University compare Britain′s ambitious efforts to reform welfare with America′s tough-love approach.

David Evans of National Economic Research Associates examines at the success of "free" software such as the Linux operating system. He respects their accomplishments, but predicts that the heavy lifting in software will continue to be done by commercial producers.

Rick Carey, a writer who covers cars and the auto industry, offers a cool look at the economics of car collecting. The bottom line, he says, is fun — not profit.

This issue′s book excerpt is from "Nickel and Dimed," the best-seller by Barbara Ehrenreich, which offers a first-hand look at how America′s unskilled workers try to survive on $7 an hour.

And, of course, we have our regular features: The Charticle (this time on the return of blacks to America′s South), a puzzle, and Mark Alan Stamaty′s cartoon, Ekinomix.

The Milken Institute Review is distributed to some 10,000 corporate and financial executives, policy makers, academics and journalists throughout the world. Its editor is Peter Passell, former economics columnist for the New York Times.

Contact
Skip Rimer, Director of Programs and Communications
(310) 570-4654
E-mail: srimer@milkeninstitute.org

About the Milken Institute
A nonprofit, nonpartisan think tank, the Milken Institute believes in the power of capital markets to solve urgent social and economic challenges. Its mission is to improve lives around the world by advancing innovative economic and policy solutions that create jobs, widen access to capital and enhance health. (www.milkeninstitute.org)


Members of the press may direct inquiries to:

Conrad Kiechel
Director of Communications
Phone: (310) 570-4668
ckiechel@milkeninstitute.org


Jeff Monford
Communications Consultant
Phone (310) 570.4623
jmonford@milkeninstitute.org

About MI
About Us
  Careers
  Contact
  Download Annual Report
  FAQs
  Locations
  Our Team

Blog


Topics

Events
  Associates
  Conferences
  Global Conference
  State of the State
  Summits
  Atlanta / California / London
  Forums
  Labs
  Young Leaders

Experts
Newsroom
  Latest News
  News Videos
  Press Releases

Research
  Centers
    Asia
    California
    FasterCures
    Financial Markets
    Israel Center
    Public Health

Initiatives

Publications
  Books
  Financial Innovations Labs
  Milken Institute Review
   Amazon Apps
   App Store
  Research Reports
  Viewpoints
  Search All Publications
Support MI
  Associates
  Donate
  Sponsorships
  Strategic Partners

Follow Us
  @Twitter
  Facebook
  YouTube
  Google+
  LinkedIn
  iTunes U

Related Sites
  Partnering For Cures 2013
  Celebration of Science
  Chairman's Corner
  Melanoma Research Alliance
  FasterCures

©2014 Milken Institute