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35
Second Quarter 2010
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hope for is a modest increase in production
costs ­ and a much, much smaller increase in
retail prices back home.
Neither I nor anyone else has tried to
weigh the costs against the benefits here, but
it is not possible that spraying makes sense in
these terms. Labeling the above analysis as
harm reduction rather than cost-benefit
analysis merely acknowledges that it is a
stretch to put dollar values on the costs
and benefits of drug policy initiatives.
All that said, using the harm-reduc-
tion framework to assay the whole array
of programs and laws that we use to
control drug use in the United States
might make a large difference. It might
even force the deeply entrenched drug
enforcement system to collect data and
to provide some analysis to defend pro-
hibition-as-usual. We have no idea, for
example, of the consequences of the
federal government's multibillion dollar
program to interdict drugs in interna-
tional waters. Perhaps it raises prices
enough and captures enough high-level
dealers to meet the criteria set by pro-
ponents. But if it does, it must also lead
to higher export demand for cocaine
from Colombia ­ and that effect ought
to weigh particularly heavily in our de-
cisions. Doing certain harm to other na-
tions for questionable domestic benefits is, at
best, morally problematic.
muddling on
It would be nice to be able to make a slam-
dunk case for legalizing drugs since so much
of the harm done by drugs is linked to their
legal prohibition. But as long as we lack a
clear sense of the consequences of legaliza-
tion in terms of greater drug use, to my mind,
the case will remain unconvincing.
What's left, if one dismisses legalization,
hardly adds up to a bold initiative. But incre-
mental steps in the name of increasing the
bang for a buck spent on drug programs may
be all that can be expected from policymakers,
who will face fierce resistance from interests
whose jobs (or claims to the high moral
ground) are at stake.
Certainly the nation's first African-Ameri-
can president and attorney general might rea-
sonably be expected to pay particular atten-
tion to policies that lead to the incarceration
of a large percentage of young, poorly edu-
cated African-American males on the basis of
deeply flawed logic. And any president com-
mitted to fighting the rise of narco-states that
threaten global security must acknowledge
that only a shift in policy lowering the value
of illicit drugs at our borders would do much
to undermine their power.
m